The capacity to adapt ? : communities in a changing climate , environment , and economy on the northern Andaman coast of Thailand

The health and productivity of marine ecosystems, habitats, and fisheries are deteriorating on the Andaman coast of Thailand. Because of their high dependence on natural resources and proximity to the ocean, coastal communities are particularly vulnerable to climate-induced changes in the marine environment. These communities must also adapt to the impacts of management interventions and conservation initiatives, including marine protected areas, which have livelihood implications. Further, communities on the Andaman coast are also experiencing a range of new economic opportunities associated in particular with tourism and agriculture. These complex and ongoing changes require integrated assessment of, and deliberate planning to increase, the adaptive capacity of communities so that they may respond to: (1) environmental degradation and fisheries declines through effective management interventions or conservation initiatives, (2) new economic opportunities to reduce dependence on fisheries, and (3) the increasing impacts of climate change. Our results are from a mixed methods study, which used surveys and interviews to examine multiple dimensions of the adaptive capacity of seven island communities near marine protected areas on the Andaman coast of Thailand. Results show that communities had low adaptive capacity with respect to environmental degradation and fisheries declines, and to management and conservation interventions, as well as uneven levels of adaptive capacity to economic opportunities. Though communities and households were experiencing the impacts of climate change, especially storm events, changing seasons and weather patterns, and erosion, they were reacting to these changes with limited knowledge of climate change per se. We recommend interventions, in the form of policies, programs, and actions, at multiple scales for increasing the adaptive capacity of Thailand’s coastal communities to change. The analytical and methodological approach used for examining adaptive capacity could be easily modified and applied to other contexts and locales.


Introduction and overview
Globally, coastal communities are experiencing a broad array of socioeconomic and biophysical changes ranging from shifting economic situations and political settings to environmental degradation, fisheries declines, and climatic changes (Bennett et al. 2014a).On the Andaman coast of Thailand, the health and productivity of marine ecosystems, habitats, and fisheries are deteriorating (Juntaroshte 2005, World Bank 2006, Panjarat 2008), as a result of overfishing, destructive fishing, coastal development, and pollution (Cheung, Botengan andCruz 2002, BOBLME 2012).This situation has repercussions for the estimated 621 fishing communities on the Andaman coast with 47,537 fishers who are dependent on fisheries and coastal resources (Panjarat 2008).Thailand's coastal communities must also adapt to the livelihood impacts of management interventions and conservation initiatives, including 26 large national marine parks (NMP; MNRE 2010).Fortunately, economic growth is bringing a range of new livelihood opportunities to communities, particularly in tourism and agriculture, which could diversify livelihoods and reduce pressure on marine resources (Ellis and Allison 2004).Coastal communities are also particularly vulnerable to climate-related changes, including rising ocean temperatures, extreme weather events, and changing seasons, as well as to increasing ocean acidification.All of these have both direct impacts on communities, e.g., infrastructure damage, erosion, and the ecosystems on which they depend, e.g., coral bleaching, mangroves retreating, as well as indirect impacts associated with resource dependent livelihoods (Marshall et al. 2010).Regional climate change projections suggest that the region will experience > 3 0 C increases in mean maximum and mean minimum temperatures, more warm days, an 8% increase in precipitation, more intense rainfall and monsoons in the rainy season, longer dry seasons, and an annual rise in sea level of 1-2 mm (Unnikrishnan andShankar 2007, START 2010).There have also been a number of significant coral bleaching events in 1991, 1995, 1998, and again in 2010, along the Andaman coast (Phongsuwan 2011).
In this context of complexity and persistent change along with the socioeconomic and ecological importance of the marine environment, our mixed-methods study sets out to explore whether or not coastal communities along the northern Andaman Coast of Thailand are able to respond to these changes in a manner that supports positive social-ecological outcomes.Drawing on a multiscalar analysis, we examined whether or not these communities were willing and able to adapt to (1) environmental degradation or fisheries declines through the accommodation of outside management or conservation initiatives or through the development of local management or conservation responses; (2) nonfisheries economic or livelihood opportunities to reduce pressure on marine systems; and (3) climate related changes.
Resilience refers to the adaptability of a system to change.Resilience in both social and ecological systems is a function of "the amount of change the system can undergo and still retain the same controls on function and structure; the degree to which the system is capable of self-organization; and, the ability [of the system] to build and increase the capacity for learning and adaptation" (Resilience Alliance 2010).Importantly, resilience thinking prompts us to consider the inherent uncertainty, unpredictability, and complexity of linked social-ecological systems and, because human and natural systems are interdependent, to examine how and whether adaptive responses maintain long-term ecosystem functioning and productivity (Holling 2001, Berkes et al. 2003, Carpenter et al. 2009).
Social adaptive capacity is a measure of social resilience and the means to reduce the vulnerability of social institutions, communities, groups, or individuals to environmental, social, political, or economic changes, shocks, stresses, or trends.Marshall et al. (2010:6) refer to social adaptive capacity as "the ability to respond to challenges through learning, managing risks and impacts, developing new knowledge and devising effective approaches."Though previous research on adaptive capacity has tended to focus at a single scale or on singular stressors, it is broadly recognized that communities are experiencing multiple stressors (O'Brien and Leichenko 2000, Ommer 2007, Leichenko and O'Brien 2008, Bunce et al. 2010), and that the ability to adapt is influenced by actions at multiple scales: international, national, community, and household (Adger et al. 2005, Cinner et al. 2009).There have been a number of previous studies that have examined the adaptive capacity of coastal and fishing communities to change (Marschke and Berkes 2006, Cinner et al. 2009, Kalikoski et al. 2010, Marshall et al. 2010, Blythe 2013).These studies tend to take two approaches, i.e., some emphasize the innate ability of communities to adapt to change, whereas others focus more on analyzing a suite of indicators to determine the overall adaptive capacity of households or communities.We chose the latter approach.A limitation of the indicators-based approach to examining adaptive capacity is that it de-emphasizes past and current adaptive strategies (Smit and Wandel 2006), focusing instead on both local and external conditions and institutions that would facilitate or interfere with future adaptation to both social and ecological change.A strength of this approach is that it avoids a common pitfall of the former approach, i.e., listing short-term coping strategies that will lead to environmental degradation, poverty traps, or social-ecological traps (see Cinner 2011).The increasing complexity and rapidity of changes that are occurring may also mean that previous adaptive strategies employed by households and communities are no longer sufficient responses to maintain social-ecological resilience (Armitage and Johnson 2006).
Many indicators of social resilience or adaptive capacity can be found in the literature.Measures of adaptive capacity from various fields include livelihood diversification and mobility (Ellis 2000, Adger et al. 2002), levels of social, cultural, economic, human, and natural capital (Berkes and Folke 1998, Carney 1998, Lemos et al. 2013), institutional and governance processes and arrangements (Ostrom 1999, Armitage and Plummer 2011, Berman et al. 2012), a culture of learning (Hagmann and Chuma 2002), redundancy of function in organizations (Staber and Sydow 2002), access to resources (Scoones 1998), diversity of resource dependence (Bailey and Pomeroy 1996), supportive public policies and institutions (Kalikoski et al. 2010), leadership and resources (Hill 2013), and levels of income and social stability (O'Garra 2007).Adger (2003) argued that adaptive capacity is directly linked to social capital, which can be defined as relationships built on trust, networks, and reciprocity, and the resultant willingness and ability of groups to act collectively.Governance, civil and political rights, and literacy, Adger and Vincent (2005) showed, are linked to national adaptive capacity to climate change related events in Africa.Adaptive capacity is corelated with economic development and well-being (McCarthy et al. 2001, Brooks et al. 2005).The various components of adaptive capacity that guided our research and analysis are summarized under the four categories originally proposed by Folke et al. (2003): flexibility and diversity, capacity to organize, learning and knowledge, and access to assets (Table 1).The components of adaptive capacity utilized were chosen to reflect the ability of communities to adapt to (1) climate change, (2) alternative forms of development or livelihoods, and (3) environmental degradation and fisheries declines by maintaining ecosystem functioning and productivity.Figure 1 provides a visual heuristic of which of the components of adaptive capacity, as they are represented by the indicators in Appendix 1, enable adaptation to each of these three spheres of change.

SITE DESCRIPTION AND METHODS
We chose a multiple case study approach to seek insight into real life phenomena rather than generalizability (Yin 2009).Seven coastal fishing communities, Baan Tha Khao, Baan Koh Panyee, Baan Lions, Baan Tapae Yoi, Baan Koh Chang, Baan Moken, and Baan Koh Sin Hi, were selected along the northern Andaman coast of Thailand (Figure 2).Selection of communities was based on the following criteria: proximity within 3 km to a marine protected area, presence of different habitats, i.e., coral reefs, mangroves, and seagrass, existence of an assortment of ethnic groups, a range of populations, and a variety of livelihood portfolios (Table 2).These criteria were chosen to explore how contextual and cultural factors influenced adaptive capacity.All selected communities were on islands.The types of fisheries and gear varied by location.The marine protected areas were all national marine parks (NMP) under the jurisdiction of the Department of National Parks (DNP) and are technically 'notake' areas.Folke et al. 2003, Marschke and Berkes 2006, Cinner et al. 2009, McClanahan et al. 2009, Marshall et al. 2010     Interview participants were sampled from within and outside the community using a combination of purposive and snowball samplings to privilege those who were knowledgeable or had certain affiliations.A total of 85 individual interviews were conducted with community leaders (n = 22), community group leaders (n = 5), community members (n = 35), and government employees in the communities (n = 3), as well as outside government (n = 10), NGO (n = 7), and academic (n = 3) representatives.Government representatives who were interviewed came from the Department of National Parks, Wildlife and Plant Protection, the Department of Marine and Coastal Resources, the Ministry of Natural Resources and the Environment, the Office of Rural Development and the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (Ministry of the Interior), and the Department of Fisheries (Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives).The collective orientation of the communities often resulted in convenience sampling of small groups, which led to an additional 23 small group (2-5 people) interviews with community members.The sample included 24 females, 61 males, 4 groups of women, 3 groups of men, and 16 mixed gender groups.Key informant interviews were conducted with eight male community 'gate-keepers' who were all somehow leaders in their communities.Interviews were conducted with trained local research assistants and in the local dialect.Interviews were translated while they were being conducted and field notes were taken.Interview and field notes were later transcribed and http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/imported into NVivo 10 qualitative research software for analysis (QSR International 2012).Qualitative data were coded against indicators related to components of the adaptive capacity framework (Appendix 1).
A random sample of households was selected from each community to participate in the survey (Table 2).Between 21-47.7% of households in each community were sampled by selecting every n th house from hand-drawn community maps.In total, 237 of 280 selected households were surveyed with a completion rate of 85%.Survey participants had a mean age of 42.1 years and were 59.1% female.Survey assistants were trained to ensure that a standardized approach was taken when administering the survey.Survey data were uploaded into SAS quantitative research software in which additional queries were run and then exported to SPSS 21 for final analysis (SAS Institute 2012, IBM 2012).We relied on descriptive analysis of the survey data.
Several methodological and sampling limitations should be recognized: (1) potential inaccuracies related to language and cultural translations; (2) a gender bias in the interviews toward male participants and in surveys toward females; (3) sampling of communities for insight limits the generalizability of results; and, (4) results were not verified with communities as analysis was done after returning from field research.Determining the relative levels of fisheries decline or environmental degradation across the sites was beyond the scope of the current research.Limitations of the analytical approach were discussed previously.

Adapting to environmental degradation and fisheries declines?
Both interview and survey participants discussed environmental degradation and fisheries declines at length.Across all of the communities, interviewees consistently commented that fish were not as large as they had been in the past, that fishers and gleaners could not harvest as much as they did in the past, and that some species had disappeared altogether.Eighty seven percent (87%) of survey respondents felt that marine resources and the number of fish in the sea had decreased.There were several possible adaptive responses that might increase the health and resilience of the marine environment and fisheries yields for local communities.First, effective fisheries regulations established by the Thai Department of Fisheries (DoF) might allow for the sustainable management of fisheries.Second, the creation of large-scale no-take marine protected areas by the Thai Department of National Parks (DNP) could support the preservation of habitats, including coral reefs, mangroves, and sea grass areas, and thus lead to fisheries increases (Halpern et al. 2009, Lester et al. 2009).For the first two interventions to be effective, communities would need to be both willing and able to adapt to these management and conservation interventions initiated through external 'environmental policies and agencies.'(Hereafter, single quotations around terms refer to components of the adaptive capacity framework in Table 1 and Appendix 1).Finally, communities might adapt to environmental declines through the development of 'local institutions and social norms, resource monitoring, and feedback mechanisms' and 'spaces for learning' to sustainably manage local resources (Ostrom 1990, 1992, Charles 2001, Hauzer et al. 2013).
Overall, it appeared that fishers in most of the research communities tended to follow the Department of Fisheries (DoF) gear restrictions of which they were aware, but fishers admittedly did not follow regulations related to species restrictions, size restrictions, or areal or seasonal closures.Interview participants told us that locals followed gear restrictions, for example, on mesh size restrictions in nets and traps and on the use of illegal gear such as push nets and dynamite.Additionally, the gear used, apparent as fishing gear even if illegal, was left lying openly around the village, in boats, or at piers.There were several exceptions: in Koh Panyee several types of illegal gear, including pongpang nets, i.e., set bag nets, were used in the mangrove canals, and bay closing nets with 'mosquito net' mesh were used for miles along the mangroves; and in Koh Sin Hi, some fishers used anchovy nets (approx.1.5 cm mesh) for fishing other species.However, there was sometimes a lack of knowledge of the specific rules for each gear type.For example, the mesh sizes for grouper and snapper traps were too small in Baan Tapae Yoi and Baan Koh Panyee.Fishers claimed that this was not illegal and justified the smaller mesh size and the collection of juveniles for the purpose of fattening them in fish cage aquaculture.Though participants told us that there had been a decline in the use of illegal gear by locals, in all of the communities, participants suggested that 'outsiders' were using the illegal gear, and that commercial fishers were entering inshore waters, within 3000 m.There was agreement among all interview participants that the DoF did not effectively or equitably enforce the rules for these intrusions.Fishers suggested several reasons why DoF was not able to enforce the rules: lack of capacity, i.e., staff and boats, lack of political will, the danger of apprehending commercial boats, and the corrupt relationships between government officials and the fishing industry.Interviews and observations showed that fishers did not follow fisheries regulations and recommendations to not catch species at certain life stages, e.g., juveniles or during spawning season.As an example, the spawning season closure measure in Ao Phang Nga was ignored by fishers in Baan Thao Khao and Baan Koh Panyee (Panjarat and Bennett 2012).Because crabs with eggs were a prized-commodity, which fetched a higher market price and participants felt they were more delicious, fishers admitted to not releasing them.Across all of the research sites except Koh Chang, fishers appeared either (1) unwilling or unable to adapt to the presence of the national park or, (2) ignorant of the presence of or regulations associated with the marine portion of the national park.Results suggest that there are three reasons why this might be: (1) perceived negative livelihood and community impacts; (2) shortcomings of management and/or (3) the ineffective functioning of governance (Bennett and Dearden 2014).Participants consistently discussed how the presence of a national park interfered with the livelihoods of local people, particularly with fisheries but also with agriculture and plantations.A commonly expressed sentiment was that: "The national park does not allow people to make a living from the sea" (interview participant).Most participants felt that it was unjust that local, impoverished, and small-scale fishers were not allowed to fish within the NMPs.Fishers and gleaners, people who collect seafood by walking and gathering, discussed how they had no other options.Tourism opportunities were rarely seen to be related to the presence of a national park.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/Several significant management shortcomings appear to be contributing to the lack of support or the lack of knowledge.First, the NMPs were created in a top-down fashion with limited or no participation during their creation (Prasertcharoensuk et al. 2010).Second, there were and are extremely limited programs of outreach, education, and awareness building.None of the communities that we worked with had ever had a visit from DNP staff for this purpose.This meant there was a lack of knowledge about boundaries, regulations, the rationale for NMP establishment, and even their existence.A third management shortcoming is a lack of capacity to manage the area, in terms of finances, infrastructure, skills, knowledge, and leadership.A final management shortcoming is acrimonious relationships caused by minimal community 'participation in protected area decision making' and management, despite the presence of guarantees for community participation in natural resource management since the 1997 implementation of the Thai Constitution (Government of Thailand 2007a, Knight et al. 2010).In terms of governance, interview participants from all groups, i.e., government agencies, NGOs, ENGOs, academia, and communities, felt that the DNP was neither transparent nor adaptable and that it enabled corruption.These factors led to a lack of trust in the agency and NMPs and widespread unwillingness to participate in or support DNP-led marine conservation (Bennett and Dearden 2014).
Finally, though many NGOs and fisheries organizations in Thailand are contending that communities should have the right to manage their own resources (IUCN 2012), effective local environmental management would require both a conservation ethic, i.e., 'norms,' as well as the presence of 'local institutions.'We considered a conservation ethic to be strong if there were strong and consistent expressions of support for conservation actions by interview participants in communities.There appeared to be a strong conservation ethic in Lions, Tapae Yoi, Tha Khao, and Koh Chang, which resulted from either the ongoing presence of outside conservation organizations, strong local leadership, or local spiritual leaders who encouraged moderation.These four communities had local community-based conservation groups that were mainly focused on the terrestrial environment or mangroves.In Koh Panyee, there were mixed expressions of support for conservation.There seemed to be less of a conservation ethic in both Baan Moken and Koh Sin Hi.This may have been because of limited 'access to assets,' for example, lower 'financial status' or a lack of Thai citizenship, and thus 'rights' to the resource and sense of ownership, in these communities.Several (non-Moken) participants conjectured that the Moken were traditionally nomadic and would move when resources were scarce or overutilized, so culturally there had been no need to develop a conservation ethic or management practices prior to becoming settled.
Though some communities appeared to have stronger conservation ethics than others, there was still a paucity of locally developed 'environmental institutions,' including formalized regulations, processes, mechanisms, and organizations that would allow for the conservation of marine resources.In all of the communities, key informants were asked about the presence of the following institutions: gear restrictions, spatial restrictions, community mangrove forests, species restrictions, catch restrictions, temporal restrictions, resource monitoring mechanisms, enforcement of rules, and formalized spaces for sharing (Table 3).There were no species restrictions, catch restrictions, temporal restrictions, or resource monitoring mechanisms in any of the sites.In Tha Khao, Tapae Yoi, and Lions, there were what was perceived to be "locally created" gear restrictions on bay closing nets and boat-towed shell dredges, but these restrictions were consistent with national regulations.There were several small seagrass MPAs, for conch and sea cucumbers, that had been recently created in Baan Lions and Baan Tapae Yoi, but it appeared that many of the prerequisites for functioning local MPAs, e.g., adequate consultation, community consensus, means for enforcement, exclusion rights (White et al. 2006, Bennett andDearden 2012), were not in place to ensure their longterm sustainability.Strong leadership and community spirit in Tapae Yoi may have helped to overcome the other shortcomings.There was a small coral reef MPA in Baan Tha Khao that had been abandoned, but the community did have a community mangrove forest that appeared to be functioning.
Notes: X = not present, √ = present, -= marginal presence; † none other than those already required by national law Local enforcement of rules was only done in two communities.In Tha Khao, it was done through public shaming and confiscation of gear, which by all accounts was deemed effective.In Baan Lions, the chief suggested that he arrested people in a public meeting but others said that he had no right to do this.None of the communities had functioning small-scale fishery associations or organizations, or other 'spaces for learning' specifically dedicated to sharing and discussing actions for fisheries management or marine conservation.However, conservation actions and fisheries rules were sometimes discussed during other community meetings, and there was an outside NGO Interview participants suggested that three factors, (1) the lack of legislation or policies to allow communities to conserve or manage their own resources, (2) a history of top-down natural resource management in Thailand, and ( 3) the open access regime, were all 'environmental policies' that were somewhat responsible for preventing locals from developing their own institutions.Ongoing and unresolved conflicts, e.g., between small-scale fishers and commercial fishers, were also disenfranchising local communities.Finally, all of these communities had short histories of less than 100 years, and our analysis suggests that traditional ecological knowledge, or 'diversity of knowledges' for NRM, was limited and focused primarily on accessing resources to increase harvests.

Adapting to economic opportunity?
'Occupational multiplicity and livelihood diversity' and levels of 'dependence on marine resources' in the sampled communities were quite different (Table 4).Interview participants in all of the communities noted a general decline in fisheries-based livelihoods and in fisheries yields.However, fishing for income or subsistence still maintained an important place in most households.Overall, 35.4% of households across all sites (range = 6.7%-81.8%)listed fisheries livelihoods as most important in terms of income.Sampled communities were becoming increasingly dependent on other livelihoods, including tourism (22.8%), agriculture and plantations (11.8%), and other livelihoods (19.8%) as the primary source of income.However, a portfolio of livelihoods made up the overall income of most households.Even with households in which fisheries were not the most significant source of income, there were often individuals whose primary (55% of households) or secondary occupation (47% of households) was fisheries.Many households relied heavily on the marine environment for subsistence use (47% of households) with 72.1% of households eating seafood five or more nights per week.
In some communities, interviewees suggested that high demand and favorable market prices meant that tourism and rubber plantations were largely responsible for raising both the average incomes of households and the overall wealth of communities, though this wealth was often highly concentrated among a few individuals who owned lots of land or tourism businesses ('equity').The majority of livelihood opportunities were also highly 'seasonal' and income was lower in the rainy season (mean = 14,001 Thai baht) than in dry season (mean = 23,037 Thai baht).Males, all in household > 18 years, had almost double the mean annual income than women, all in household > 18 years, higher income than women on average (Male mean annual salary = 63657 Thai baht; Female mean annual salary = 34393 Thai baht).However, women made important contributions to households through subsistence activities including gleaning, household gardening, raising livestock, and selling food and desserts.
Interview participants in most of the communities felt that their income, i.e., 'financial status,' was improving, with the exception of Baan Ko Sin Hi, but livelihood and household costs were also increasing along with household debt.This meant that 38% of households felt that household income was less than expenses (38% income equal to expenses; 24% income greater than expenses).Many survey participants believed that there were plenty of opportunities for 'occupational mobility' if they could not make a living, indicating they would choose to migrate elsewhere for work temporarily (32.1%) or permanently (8.9%).Of all households sampled, 19.8% (range 9.1%-45.5%)received remittances from family members working elsewhere with average monthly remittances contributing significantly to household income (mean = 3361 Thai baht/month).The extent to which communities were engaging with alternative livelihoods appeared to be largely dependent on three main factors: (1) suitability of the site for tourism, i.e., 'natural capital, ' (2) access to land and local ownership of land for livelihood purposes, i.e., 'natural capital/material assets,' and (3) hiring of locals versus outside laborers, i.e., 'bonding social capital.'Many of the communities surveyed, Tha Khao, Koh Panyee, Lions, Tapae Yoi, and Koh Chang, are situated near areas that are attractive to tourists or are themselves the home of an important tourist attraction, which allowed for tourism to flourish.However, many fishing villages on the Andaman coast are situated in mangrove forests with no access to beaches and as such are less attractive to tourists.
Land access and ownership in some communities has allowed local people to establish plantations or build bungalows.Two communities, Koh Panyee and Baan Moken, did not have easy access to land for geographical reasons and therefore could not diversify their livelihoods by establishing agricultural areas or plantations.More than half (52.3%) of all households in all communities owned land for livelihood purposes, but it was not evenly distributed (Table 5).Local ownership was strongest in Koh Chang and Tha Khao where the majority of plantations and tourism businesses were locally owned.In all sites, but particularly in Lions, Tapae Yoi, and Koh Sin Hi, land ownership was complicated by the citizenship rights (or lack thereof) of community members, lack of clarity of land title, sales of land to outside investors, illegal encroachment, and corruption.
Finally, the hiring of labor, both Burmese and Thais, for plantations, tourism, and even to operate small-scale fishing boats from outside the community, reduced the number of opportunities available to locals and lowered wages.This problem was particularly apparent in Tha Khao, but was on the increase in Koh Panyee, Tapae Yoi, and Koh Chang.Low tourism suitability, little access or local ownership, and outside hiring all placed locals in a position in which either fisheries or outmigration were the most likely options when livelihoods faltered.
In addition to demand and markets, a number of factors acted as bridges or barriers to the ability of these communities and households to adapt.Several bridging factors consistently supported adaptation of livelihoods across our research sites, including access to various 'sources of credit,' the presence of benevolent middlemen, i.e., 'bonding social capital,' who gave loans and supported people during difficult periods, and positive perceptions of 'equity' within the community.Participants felt that 'levels of education' were increasing significantly from the previous generation, and many households had members that were attending school elsewhere.Educated youth were starting to return to work in and help their communities.The expansion of tourism and plantations was increasing the 'livelihood and income diversity' for women.Households also exhibited 'livelihood diversity' and individuals demonstrated 'flexibility.'For example, survey participants had held an average of 2.3 occupations during the past 10 years, and households had an average of 5.9 different livelihoods out of a list of 30.
Community perceptions of the quality of 'leadership and governance' were quite varied from community to community, as were the processes used to make decisions and the 'equitable' consideration of different socioeconomic, racial groups, and genders within the community.Governance structures in some communities were inclusive of women, whereas in others they were either poorly represented or not represented at all.'Gender relations' appeared to contribute to the amount of consideration given to women's livelihoods.The quality of 'bridging social capital' was quite mixed, with several communities having good relationships with outside private sector organizations, and only one community having an ongoing partnership with outside researchers.Many researchers had come to these communities but never returned with results.'Bonding social capital,' or the quality of relationships within the community, varied among sites and may have been related to levels of equity.When it was too strong, 'bonding social capital' had the potential to undermine the flexibility of individuals and households within the community, as was discussed by participants in Koh Panyee.Neither 'rights' nor 'infrastructure' were evenly distributed between the communities.The absence of individual citizenship and thus 'rights,' i.e., no Thai ID card or Thai ID card with 0, for many community members in Baan Moken and Baan Koh Sin Hi undermined flexibility.The level and quality of 'infrastructure' also varied substantially by community.
'Institutional supports,' e.g., government livelihood workshops, NGO development programs, were more likely to be found in communities that were easier to access or that were more pleasant to visit than in those communities most in need of these programs.More marginalized interview participants, i.e., by poverty, power, or ethnicity, discussed how assistance was often captured by powerful or wealthy members of the community ('equity') and that 'corruption' often interfered with the distribution of development aid or programs.A frequently discussed example was the distribution of post-tsunami aid.Finally, the success of externally sponsored projects depended on the longevity of http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/project support, e.g., community-based tourism in Ban Lions, as well as ongoing support by local leaders, e.g., women's cooperative in Baan Tha Khao.During the previous decade, a significant number of diverse community savings and community development funds had been promoted and developed in this region and in Thailand, e.g., One Tambon One Million, DoF Fishing Development Fund, and Post-tsunami development funds.These had the potential to support households in adapting their livelihoods.However, the results of these funds varied between communities, depending on the local 'leadership's' capacity to manage the fund and on the impacts of 'bonding social capital' on their success.
The sampled communities were highly heterogeneous and there were quite varied capacities to adapt to alternative nonfisheries livelihoods.This produced mixed levels of livelihood diversity among households and communities.Levels of reliance on marine resources for livelihoods or subsistence were related to an array of factors primarily associated with access to assets, i.e., 'natural capital, material assets (especially land), financial status and sources of credit, education, infrastructure, social capital, and equity,' and also with the capacity to organize, i.e., 'governance and leadership, corruption, gender relations and bonding social capital.' Results also suggested that the following factors may have been interfering with the ability to adapt to nonfisheries livelihood opportunities across all of the sites: perceived or real 'corruption' in midlevel 'governance' structures, especially Tambon Administration Offices, inequitable distribution of wealth and land within communities ('equity'), rising economic costs for livelihood and household expenses and increasing levels of debt ('financial status').We found declining 'livelihood diversity' in several communities, which tended to focus on one resource and to abandon all other livelihood opportunities, e.g., only rubber plantations or tourism.

Adapting to climate change?
Community, household, and individual adaptation to climate change is facilitated by the extent to which local people are 'experiencing climate change,' are 'knowledgeable about climate change,' and are able to change their behavior to 'actively manage risks' (Bennett et al. 2014a).Climate change adaptation can also be supported by broader-scale 'institutional supports' from national and international governmental and nongovernmental organizations.
Communities and households were clearly 'experiencing climate change' on a daily basis.According to interview and survey results, the types of climate change events most communities were experiencing were (1) more powerful and frequent storms, (2) changing seasons and rainfall patterns, e.g., less defined rainy and dry seasons, shorter rainy seasons, unseasonal rains, and more intense rains, (3) flooding, (4) rising sea levels, and (5) erosion.To a lesser degree communities were also noticing increased saltwater intrusion, increased freshwater in mangrove areas, as well as coral bleaching.Some survey participants discussed how these perceived changes would have an impact on tourism visitation, the ability to take fishing boats out, human health, and agricultural productivity.et al. 2008).For example, one interviewee explained how economic stressors caused fishers to take risks: "In Koh Sin Hi, due to poverty, even though there is a lot of change and storms, we have to go out [fishing] every day even with a big storm" and, "Normally, one boat has to go out, three fishermen together.The boat owner usually hired two laborers to work on the boat but now they cannot afford to hire laborers."Interview participants also suggested that some groups, for example the Moken in Ban Moken or Tapae Yoi or less educated fishermen on Koh Sin Hi, are less able or accustomed to thinking about and planning for the future: "these problems seem far off, uncontrollable...In Tapae Yoi, people live day to day." Overall, interviews and surveys revealed limited 'knowledge of the impacts of climate change' or ocean acidification on habitats, species, or fisheries, although there were some interesting observations about the potential impacts of storms, sea temperatures, and degraded reefs on fish abundance.This lack of awareness is concerning because climate change and acidification are predicted to have increasingly deleterious impacts on habitats, particularly coral reefs and on fish distribution, interactions, abundance, and size and to interfere with the growth of marine species with exoskeletons or shells made of calcium carbonate (Harley et al. 2006, Hoegh-Guldberg et al. 2007, Parry et al. 2007, Guinotte and Fabry 2008, Brierley and Kingsford 2009).These long-term outcomes will have serious consequences for local fisheries livelihoods.However, very few of these communities take a collective approach or proactive stance in planning for changes in livelihoods, particularly because climate change or ocean acidification might have an impact on them.There are, however, several smaller community-based organizations that facilitate livelihoods, including the community-based tourism initiative in Lions, a tourism association on Koh Chang, a small chicken farm on Koh Sin Hi, and a women's cooperative in Tha Khao.
Although most households do not seem to plan specifically for climate change impacts, households employ other 'risk management' strategies including saving money, contributing to community savings funds, purchasing health insurance, moving to more lucrative livelihoods, supporting the education of young family members, diversifying livelihoods, participating in subsistence activities, and participating in activities of the sufficiency economy, e.g., planting household gardens and raising livestock, as proposed by the King of Thailand (Sathirathai and Piboolsravut 2004).However, overall levels of participation in many of these activities varied significantly between households and communities.http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/At the community level, the main areas of focus for adaptation planning for climate change would be (1) planning community infrastructure, particularly for extreme weather events, erosion, flooding, and to ensure a supply of freshwater, (2) adapting for impacts on livelihoods, and (3) preparing for disasters.At this level too, responses to climate change trends and events tended to be reactive rather than proactive ('active risk management').
For example, erosion is a significant problem in all communities.However, there is ongoing removal of natural barriers, e.g., mangroves in front of communities, which has increased erosion and led a few communities to discuss creating concrete walls to stop erosion.
A first challenge at the community level is a lack of 'knowledge of climate change' and an ignorance of its potential future impacts among leaders in communities and regional Tambon Administration Offices.There have been several brief disaster preparedness workshops and programs organized by NGOs, e.g., Thai Red Cross in Koh Chang and Koh Sin Hi and Raks Thai in Koh Panyee, in some communities during which climate change was discussed ('institutional supports').As a result of these workshops, postdisaster evacuation plans are in place in three communities but not in the others.Generally speaking there is almost a complete lack of government or civil society organizations that work with these communities on climate change education or adaptation.Current 'infrastructure' is built in an uncoordinated fashion by various organizations, including government agencies, local governments, Royal Foundations, and NGOs, without consideration of current or future impacts of climate change.For example, piers in Baan Lions, Tapae Yoi, and Baan Tha Khao have been rendered almost useless by erosion, and rising seawater washes over the walkways in Koh Panyee and Koh Sin Hi, whereas it did not when they were built.The effective planning and building of infrastructure in these communities is significantly limited by several factors: lack of coordination between community leaders and other organizations to ensure structures are appropriately designed and local knowledge is considered ('bridging social capital' and 'participation in decision making'), the potential for corrupt officials and businesspeople or certain community factions to siphon off financing ('corruption' and 'equity'), and limited access to financing to support locally developed infrastructure adaptation projects, such as building piers, breakwaters, elevated sidewalks, and water reservoirs ('institutional supports').
At the national level, an increasing number of structures and policies are in place to support adaptation, but coordination and implementation are weak ('institutional supports').Tepa et al. 2011).These projects all focus on understanding climate change impacts and using participatory processes to adapt coastal cities and communities.However, they are still somewhat limited in scale, and none of them were, at the time of the study, actively engaged in work in the region under discussion.

DISCUSSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
The analytical approach and methods we used to examine adaptive capacity were useful for understanding how communities are responding to the multiple social, environmental, and climatic changes that are occurring (Bennett et al. 2014a).Conceptually, we distinguished between adapting, reacting, and coping.Adapting refers to proactive and anticipatory planning of individual or collective actions based on knowledge or experience of past or anticipated future changes and that will likely result in no regrets or sustainable socialecological outcomes.Reacting, on the other hand, signifies an unplanned response to an event or change.Coping denotes passively accepting the consequences of a change or event and thus not changing behavior to alter outcomes.Our findings suggested that the study communities on the Andaman coast of Thailand are merely coping with ecological and fisheries declines and change such that many interview and survey participants did not know or felt that nothing could be done about fisheries declines.They are adapting unevenly to economic opportunity as http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/evidenced by the differential dependencies on fisheries and other livelihoods, such as tourism and agriculture.And, they are being seriously buffeted by climate change, but have limited knowledge of its causes or consequences and little has been done to reduce its impacts, suggesting they are largely in reactive mode.What do these findings tell us about marine management and conservation, local development and climate change adaptation policies, programs and localized actions in Thailand, this region, and these communities?This analysis of adaptive capacity points to a number of interventions that might be taken at various scales for addressing shortfalls in adaptive capacity of coastal communities in this region of Thailand and elsewhere.
Moving communities beyond coping with environmental decline toward active rebuilding of depleted resources and eroded livelihoods and toward reducing or mitigating the effects of climate change and acidification requires a multifaceted approach.The conservation of marine resources and management of fisheries necessitates that the issues are addressed at multiple scales, i.e., from local to national to regional, simultaneously (BOBLME 2012, Pomeroy 2012).At the national level, this would require specific attention to the 'environmental policies and agencies,' particularly on the part of the DoF and DNP, 'participation in NRM and protected area decision making' and 'corruption' components of the adaptive capacity framework.Several actions are required by the DoF to increase the perceived legitimacy of the agency and its regulations and to improve compliance.An important initial step would be to ensure that regulations are appropriate to the ecological and social context and to monitor and adapt pre-existing legislations that are not functioning adequately.Improved participation in the development of regulations would ensure that they are contextually appropriate and more acceptable (Panjarat and Bennett 2012).Effective and equitable enforcement of regulations is a necessity that would require increased monitoring, control and surveillance, improved coordination among government agencies, increased physical and personnel capacity, and means to overcome industry-government corruption.Programs of outreach and education would increase fishers' knowledge about regulations and their ecological rationale.Establishing mechanisms to decrease fisheries conflicts could reduce the current "race to fish" (Grafton 2005).
Moving from an open access regime toward a limited access common property regime might empower locals to develop environmental institutions through allowing for exclusion rights (Ostrom 1992).Adopting an integrated approach to coastal management could improve the overall health of the marine environment (MFF 2008, BOBLME 2012).
Significant improvements to the governance and management of NMPs are required to improve their acceptability and increase their effectiveness.Improving the perceived legitimacy of NMP and DNP governance structures would require increasing the transparency, accountability, inclusiveness, fairness, and adaptability of the system (Graham et al. 2003, Lockwood 2010), as well as reconsidering whether or not national park superintendents should be political appointments or hired because of their knowledge, experience, and skills (Prasertcharoensuk et al. 2010).Management capacity could be enhanced by addressing shortfalls in financing, infrastructure, skills, and leadership (Pomeroy et al. 2004).Initial planning processes could better incorporate the social and economic values of local communities (Sobel and Dahlgren 2004).Zoning of MPAs could reduce conflicts by providing multiple use areas for communities (Lunn and Dearden 2006).Outreach and education would improve knowledge of boundaries, regulations, the purpose of MPAs, and even the existence of MPAs (Leisher et al. 2012).
Participation and relationships could be improved by establishing comanagement institutions.Consideration should be given to local development by establishing processes and capacity building programs to hire local people into management positions and by supporting the development of alternative livelihoods (Cattermoul et al. 2008, Bennett 2010).
At the local level, attention needs to be paid to the development of 'local environmental institutions and social norms,' 'resource monitoring, feedback and adaptation mechanisms,' and 'spaces for learning.'There are important roles for environmental policies and agencies and institutional support from ENGOs in the growth and maturation of these institutions (Sudtongkong and Webb 2008).Legislation and policies are needed to support local management and conservation initiatives (Johnson 1998) (Sathirathai and Piboolsravut 2004).This philosophy has also seen significant uptake by various government agencies in Thailand and could, similarly, guide adaptation and risk management policies and practices.

CONCLUSION
Coastal communities worldwide are experiencing a broad array of environmental, climatic, and economic changes to which they must constantly adapt.We offer a distinctive, integrative perspective on these issues through the analysis of the adaptive capacity of seven island communities on the Andaman coast of Thailand to multiple stressors.We recommend different interventions for addressing the adaptive capacity gaps that communities may possess in relation to the various environmental, economic, and climatic changes that are occurring.
To improve adaptive capacity to climate change: . Enhance knowledge of climate change at all levels of government and in local communities through extensive programs of outreach and education; . Increase engagement in active risk management strategies at the household level; . Build capacity at the community level for planning for current and future climate risks to households, infrastructure, and livelihoods; . Expand institutional supports for climate change adaptation, including mainstreaming adaptation in policy and government and NGO conservation and development projects; . Facilitate participatory adaptation planning processes at local and regional levels; and, . Further develop disaster preparedness programs and infrastructure.
To improve adaptive capacity to environmental degradation and fisheries declines: . Further enhance policies and processes to ensure local participation in protected areas decision making and empowerment of communities in natural resource management; . .Enhance the management processes for National Marine To improve adaptive capacity to alternative livelihoods: . On a site-by-site basis, focus on increasing community social and physical infrastructure and household livelihood assets, such as education, savings, land, tools, and skills; . Encourage households and communities to maintain diverse economic and subsistence livelihood portfolios; http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/ .Cultivate the quality and capacity of community governance and leadership; . Promote rights for and consideration of underprivileged groups, including women and stateless groups; . Increase the effectiveness of development interventions from NGOs and governments; and, . Facilitate positive relationships and long-term meaningful partnerships within communities, with other communities, and with outside organizations.
In our conceptual framework (Figure 1), we recognized that some factors, such as local governance and leadership, bonding and bridging social capital, rights and equity, gender relations, participation, levels of corruption, and occupational diversity, could facilitate or interfere with adaptation to multiple changes simultaneously.This makes these components of adaptive capacity virtually indispensable and thus credible starting places for facilitating community adaptation at the local scale.However, the other components of adaptive capacity are no less crucial to ensure functioning social-ecological systems in a changing climate.Conservation of the environment, e.g., coral reefs, mangroves, or fisheries, can also assist with mitigating against the impacts of climate change while also leading to beneficial livelihood outcomes.
In conclusion, we recognize that there are significant limitations placed on the adaptive capacity of communities by their connectedness to complex and uncertain environmental, economic, and socio-political systems at macroscales.Significant changes in the structure and functioning of coastal ecosystems and communities may be inevitable.Changes can also lead to positive transformations in communities and thus present themselves as opportunities.For opportunities to be embraced and the impacts of unwanted eventualities to be tempered or moved toward more desirable outcomes, it will increasingly require that proactive and mindful actions are taken to increase the adaptive capacity of communities at multiple scales from the national to the local.

Fig. 1 .
Fig. 1.Contribution of components to community adaptive capacity to climate change, environmental degradation, and alternative livelihoods.

Fig. 2 .
Fig. 2. Map of research sites on the Andaman coast of Thailand.

.
Parks and tackle governance shortcomings within the Department of National Parks; and, Address issues with corruption in the Department of National Parks and the Department of Fisheries and ensure equitable enforcement of regulations.

Table 1 .
Categories and components of adaptive capacity (after ).
governance processes, and involvement with outside organizations.The surveys focused primarily on quantitative measures of adaptive capacity, such as household assets, livelihood diversity, and knowledge of climate change.More details on the specific methods and indicators used to assess each aspect and component of the adaptive capacity framework (Table1) can be found in Appendix 1, and research instruments can be found inBennett  (2013).

Table 2 .
Community information and survey sample.The fisheries listed are the main traditional fisheries that are sold through middlemen.All communities also engage in extensive multispecies subsistence fisheries.Blue crab is the generic term used to refer to open sea or bottom crabs.

Table 3 .
Presence or absence of local institutions to support conservation across the research sites.

Table 4 .
Importance of fisheries-based livelihoods to households (hh) for income, employment, and subsistence.
§ 1 Thai baht = approx.0.031 USD on Koh Phrathong (Lions and Tapae Yoi), which was facilitating conversations about conservation in the area.

Table 5 .
Do people in your household own land suitable for agriculture or tourism livelihoods (% of households).
change, as well as economic factors, situational factors, and individual values meant that individuals and households were most likely to be reacting to, rather than 'actively managing risks' or even proactively planning for, climate change.For example, of 286 houses in Koh Panyee only 10 houses did not flood during particularly high tides in recent years, yet few houses have raised their floors.The low probability of adaptation is likely partially because of limitations placed on households and individuals by economic factors, e.g., rising costs, persistent debts, and poverty; situational factors, e.g., need to watch boats, rights; and cultural and individual values, e.g., enjoying life near the ocean, quality of life, and not wanting debt.Some of these factors may interact and cause additional stress for individuals and households and may mean that they take additional risks (seeOmmer 2007, Tuler Though local people were experiencing the effects of climate change, 'knowledge of climate change,' including what it is, why it is happening, and its impacts, was very limited among both interview and survey participants.A general lack of knowledge of climate Lebel (2010)ge Coordinator under the OCCC,Lebel (2010)suggested that adaptation to climate change is still a recent policy initiative that has seen limited uptake by government departments.Our interviews with representatives of various government agencies, i.e., DNP, DoF, Department of Marine and Coastal Resources, Community Development Office, Ministry of Agriculture and Cooperatives, and the Navy, showed that there was a complete lack of 'knowledge' at the lower level about any policy initiatives or programs focused on climate change adaptation or even knowledge of 'climate change.'Evenrepresentatives of the recently (2002) established Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation (DDPM), which is mandated to plan for and implement community-based disaster mitigation strategies, seemed unclear about what the implications of climate change were for their department and about how they were planning for it.The DDPM has, however, established a network of early warning towers ('infrastructure') and communication systems for alerting communities of impending disasters after the tsunami.Many climate change adaptation efforts in Thailand,Lebel (2010)suggested, are still limited to small, localized, or regional projects run by civil society groups.More recently several larger and longer-term (five year) coastal-focused climate change adaptation projects have emerged that bridge international donors with Thai civil society organizations and government agencies.These projects include the Rockefeller Foundation's Asian Cities Climate Change Resilience Network (ACCCRN), the Increase National Capacity for Climate Change Adaptation for Coastal Communities (INCA) program of the UNDP and Thai Red Cross Society, the Building Coastal Resilience to Reduce the Impact of Climate Change (BCR) initiative by Sustainable Development Foundation (SDF) and the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), and the Building Coastal Community Resilience to Reduce Climate Impact (BCRCC) run by Raks Thai with CARE Deutschland ( of Thailand 2008)and the more recent "10-Year Master Plan on Climate Change (2010-2019)" both focus on adaptation and mitigation measures (Government of Thailand, 2010).The adaptation focus in those documents is on agriculture, water, and disaster relief, with limited attention to the marine environment.Although 30 agencies and ministries participated in the central ://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol19/iss2/art5/development programs need to consider the local context, be longterm, address the needs of vulnerable groups, and engender local leadership.