Table 4. Multiscale scenario “realize potentials based on green growth” combining future states of green growth (context) and think big (the Visp region).


Context: green growth
Global Trends: A1B
Climate: A1B
Population CH: 9.5 Mio
Migration within CH: Migration to Agglomeration
Accessibility of mountain regions: High Increase
Tourism Development: Exploitive
Natural Resource Management: Exploitive
Environmental Awareness: Technical Solutions
Consumption Patterns: Global Production
Economic Growth: High Increase
Agricultural Markets: Decline in prices
Wood Prices : Stable Prices
Energy Consumption: Stable Consumption
Technol. Innovation in Agriculture: High Innovation Rate
Energy Policy: New Priorities
Nature Conservation : Reduction
Climate Policy: Low Emission Reduction Aims
Spat Planning Policy: Laisser-Faire
Agricultural Policy: Liberalisation
 
The Visp region: think big
Low local consequences of climate change
Preserved environmental quality
Increase in regionally specific construction and settlement quality
High level protection policy
Moderate restrictive planning and zoning activities
Extension of nature protection measures
Strong support of enterprises for local goods
Integrated agriculture
Integrated forest management
Increase of renewables
Moderate change and investment
Expansion of the destination management
Governed shrinking of third sector (winter tourism)
Higher budget
Care for locational advantage
Small demographic fluctuations (increase or decrease by up to 15%)
Improved quality of life
Increasing attractiveness for residents
High importance of local identity
High degree of coherence among municipalities
 
Short description: realize potentials based on green growth
The tourism sector in the Visp region greatly benefits from the global trends. The impact of climate change is kept low both by an orchestrated international mitigation policy and by anticipative regional (technical and natural) adaptation measures (in Switzerland temperature: +1.2° in winter and +1.7° in summer; precipitation: +8.9 mm in winter and +1.1 mm in summer). Recreational and weekend tourism, glacier experiences, and sustainable tourism in the Alps are very popular all over Switzerland and internationally. A joint destination management in the region takes up this trend and favors big labels and innovative concepts (Think Big: Oberwallis: Matter-/ Saas-valley, “highest vineyard of Europe,” stronger link to agrotourism), resulting to the rise of the number of tourists and profits during the winter and summer. This development is supported by a strategy that fosters the cultural heritage and environmental quality of the region. An ecologically focused federal policy and the rising prices of agricultural products facilitate a regionally typical agriculture and the commercialization of local products. Sustainable forestry contributes to the high recreational value of the region. The strong local identity of the population supports the cultural heritage in the region, which is characterized by a regionally typical construction activity and the establishment of learning centers for local knowledge. Because of the positive economic development and the care for the cultural heritage there is a high quality of life and the population (distribution) remains more or less constant over time.