| Predictions from the adaptive cycle heuristic | Observed period with the theoretically assumed combinations of low and high levels of potential and connectedness | |||
| Phase | Potential | Connectedness | Time period | |
| Release | Low | High | 1975–1989 | |
| Reorganization | High | Low | 1990–1994/95 | |
| Exploitation | Low | Low | 1994/95–1997 | |
| Conservation | High | High | 1998–2003 | |
| Release 2 | Low | High | 2004–Today | |