Table 4. Summary of evidence from the literature and qualitative data showing the key drivers of vulnerability of the agroecosystem to changing weather patterns.
| |
| |
|
|
Diversity |
Connectivity |
Productivity |
| |
|
Vegetation |
Overgrazing and degradation on communal lands (Victor
et al. 2005, Zanner et al. 2004). Bush
encroachment on communal lands (Victor et al. 2005). |
Low dispersal and dominance of vegetative reproduction
in native vegetation (Victor et al.
2005). Cultivation, plantations, and mining has led
to a loss of connectivity between vegetation patches (Mucina and Rutherford
2006). |
Decreasing palatable grasses, wild foods, and
traditional medicines (Victor et al.
2005). Perceived shift away from local foods in
diets (qualitative data). |
|
Agriculture |
Mono-cropping at a commercial scale promoted by
agricultural policy (Drimie et al. 2009). Small
scale supplementary farming dominated by maize (Drimie et al.
2009). |
Heavy reliance on rainfed agriculture (Stronkhorts and
Pretorius 2008; qualitative data), which is slow to recover from drought (Drimie
et al. 2009). Limited rural infrastructure
(Gbetibouo et al. 2010; qualitative data). |
Low crop production and reducing crop yields
(Stronkhorts and Pretorius 2008) Inadequate rainfall limits yields (qualitative
data). |
|
Land management |
Overcrowding on communal land limits the scope for
land reform (Greater Sekhukhune District Municipality 2005). |
Mining expansion changing land use in some areas (Aird
and Archer 2004). Private, state, and tribal
(communal) land ownership leading to fragmented management (Tefera et al.
2004). |
Most fertile land privately owned by commercial
farmers limiting scope for small farmers (Greater Sekhukhune District
Municipality 2005). |
|
| |
|