Table 3. Expected change (semiquantitative grading) in the dependent variables from baseline condition, based on model-runs where the independent variables are specified in five management scenarios. Grading: ‘not important’ (+/-), ‘important’ (++/--) , and ‘very important ‘ (+++/---). In scenario 2 and 3 the cod stock (2-10 year-classes) are only allowed to approximately double its biomass. (NOK = Norwegian kroner; 1 € is approximately 8 NOK; LEB = local economic benefit).
| |
| |
|
Parameter |
Baseline |
Change from baseline
(%) |
|
|
|
Scenarios |
|
|
|
|
Cod
stock (tons) |
|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| |
|
2-10 year class |
30.6 t |
++ (48) |
+++ (97) |
+++ (109) |
++ (74) |
-(-10) |
|
Annual yield |
20 t |
++ (34) |
--- (-89) |
- (-5) |
+++ (122) |
-(-4) |
|
Commercial fishers |
10.4 t |
++ (49) |
--- (-100) |
--- (-100) |
++ (113) |
-(-10) |
|
Fishing tourists |
2.1 t |
++ (88) |
--- (-100) |
+++ (215) |
+++ (222) |
+ (33) |
|
Conflict factor |
3.5 |
- (-0.4) |
+ (2.8) |
-(-0.4) |
- (-2.3) |
+/- (0) |
|
Tourist days |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
252,035 |
+ (0.8) |
- (-1.2) |
+ (3.1) |
+ (2.0) |
+ (0.9) |
|
Second-home
owners |
167,267 |
+ (0.4) |
+ (0.8) |
+ (0.8) |
+ (0.9) |
-(-0.1) |
|
Fishing tourists |
5036 |
++ (25) |
--- (-100) |
+++ (55) |
+++ (61) |
+++ (52) |
|
LEB |
In NOK 1000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
73.209 |
+ (1.2) |
- (-2.8) |
+ (2.2) |
+ (4.4) |
+ (1.6) |
|
Second-home
owners |
14.218 |
- (0.4) |
+ (0.8) |
+ (0.8) |
+ (0.9) |
-(-0.1) |
|
Fishing tourists |
2.520 |
+ (25) |
--- (-100) |
+++ (55) |
+++ (61) |
+++ (52) |
|
Commercial fishers |
0.166 |
++ (49) |
--- (-100) |
--- (-100) |
+++ (113) |
-(-10) |
|
| |
|