Table 4.
Summary of the multiple logistic regression models for the occurrence of
the highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus in wild birds in
Europe from 2005 to 2006. All values in the table are mean values obtained
from 1000 runs of the model.
| |
| |
| |
B |
OR† |
95% CI OR† |
P value |
AIC ± SD |
Pseudo R2 ± SD |
AUC ± SD |
Kappa ± SD |
| |
| Model |
|
|
|
|
<0.001 |
638 ± 25 |
0.38 ± 0.04 |
0.81 ± 0.02 |
0.52 ± 0.03 |
| Intercept |
-10.86 |
|
|
|
<0.001 |
| Dem |
-0.001 |
0.999 |
0.998 |
0.999 |
0.016 |
|
|
|
|
| PrecJan |
-0.037 |
0.963 |
0.950 |
0.976 |
<0.001 |
|
|
|
|
| TminJan |
0.025 |
1.026 |
1.018 |
1.034 |
<0.001 |
|
|
|
|
| NDVIMar |
50.6 |
1.170 |
0.059 |
23.630 |
<0.001 |
|
|
|
|
| SNDVIMar |
-56.36 |
0.408 |
0.307 |
0.543 |
<0.001 |
|
|
|
|
| NDVIDec |
6.102 |
1318.596 |
100.248 |
17685.59 |
<0.001 |
|
|
|
|
|
| |
† Calculated using
z-score standardized variables to avoid too small or too large OR
values
|