Table 3. Judgments of forest practitioners on the degree to which the forest sector and forest-dependent communities in the Champagne and Aihihik Traditional Territory are vulnerable to the following impacts of climate change. Vulnerability is the extent to which climate change may damage or harm a system. It depends on a system’s sensitivity and ability to adapt to new climate conditions. Scale of 1 to 10 (0 = not vulnerable, 1 = low vulnerability, 10 = high vulnerability) or don’t know. Results shown are the average rank and standard deviation (s.d.; in parentheses) of participants who provided a ranking.
| |
| |
|
Climate change impact |
Current vulnerability |
Future vulnerability: “low scenario” of climate
change |
Future vulnerability: “high scenario” of climate
change |
| |
|
Changes in the intensity, severity, or magnitude of forest
fires |
7.1 (2.4) |
7.4 (2.1) |
8.3 (2.4) |
|
Changes in the intensity, severity, or magnitude of forest
insect outbreaks |
6.7 (2.7) |
7.0 (2.6) |
8.0 (2.8) |
|
Changes in extreme weather events (heavy winds, lightning,
winter storms, drought) |
6.1 (1.9) |
6.9 (1.8) |
8.2 (1.6) |
|
Changes in forest growth and productivity |
4.8 (3.0) |
5.9 (2.7) |
7.5 (2.6) |
|
Changes in phenology |
5.1 (2.7) |
5.6 (2.8) |
6.7 (2.8) |
|
Changes in wildlife species abundance, movement, and
ranges |
5.5 (2.1) |
6.7 (2.0) |
8.0 (2.0) |
|
Changes in abundance and ranges of invasive
species |
4.9 (2.6) |
6.1 (2.6) |
7.4 (2.7) |
|
Change in forest cover type |
4.7 (2.4) |
5.7 (2.4) |
7.3 (2.5) |
|
Changes in treeline |
3.8 (2.4) |
4.5 (2.6) |
5.8 (2.9) |
|
Changes in timber supply |
5.6 (2.5) |
6.0 (2.8) |
7.1 (2.6) |
|
Changes in the availability of non-timber forest
products |
4.5 (1.7) |
5.5 (2.0) |
6.7 (2.0) |
|
Changes in land values and land-use options |
4.5 (2.5) |
5.0 (2.6) |
5.5 (2.6) |
|
Changes in economic opportunities |
4.7 (2.3) |
5.5 (2.3) |
6.5 (2.7) |
|
Change in length of winter road season |
4.7 (2.4) |
6.1 (2.6) |
7.4 (2.7) |
|
Changes in livelihood |
3.8 (2.2) |
5.0 (2.5) |
5.9 (3.0) |
|
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