Table 3. Judgments of forest practitioners on the degree to which the forest sector and forest-dependent communities in the Champagne and Aihihik Traditional Territory are vulnerable to the following impacts of climate change. Vulnerability is the extent to which climate change may damage or harm a system. It depends on a system’s sensitivity and ability to adapt to new climate conditions. Scale of 1 to 10 (0 = not vulnerable, 1 = low vulnerability, 10 = high vulnerability) or don’t know. Results shown are the average rank and standard deviation (s.d.; in parentheses) of participants who provided a ranking.


Climate change impact Current vulnerability Future vulnerability:
“low scenario” of climate change
Future vulnerability:
“high scenario” of climate change
Changes in the intensity, severity, or magnitude of forest fires 7.1 (2.4) 7.4 (2.1) 8.3 (2.4)
Changes in the intensity, severity, or magnitude of forest insect outbreaks 6.7 (2.7) 7.0 (2.6) 8.0 (2.8)
Changes in extreme weather events (heavy winds, lightning, winter storms, drought) 6.1 (1.9) 6.9 (1.8) 8.2 (1.6)
Changes in forest growth and productivity 4.8 (3.0) 5.9 (2.7) 7.5 (2.6)
Changes in phenology 5.1 (2.7) 5.6 (2.8) 6.7 (2.8)
Changes in wildlife species abundance, movement, and ranges 5.5 (2.1) 6.7 (2.0) 8.0 (2.0)
Changes in abundance and ranges of invasive species 4.9 (2.6) 6.1 (2.6) 7.4 (2.7)
Change in forest cover type 4.7 (2.4) 5.7 (2.4) 7.3 (2.5)
Changes in treeline 3.8 (2.4) 4.5 (2.6) 5.8 (2.9)
Changes in timber supply 5.6 (2.5) 6.0 (2.8) 7.1 (2.6)
Changes in the availability of non-timber forest products 4.5 (1.7) 5.5 (2.0) 6.7 (2.0)
Changes in land values and land-use options 4.5 (2.5) 5.0 (2.6) 5.5 (2.6)
Changes in economic opportunities 4.7 (2.3) 5.5 (2.3) 6.5 (2.7)
Change in length of winter road season 4.7 (2.4) 6.1 (2.6) 7.4 (2.7)
Changes in livelihood 3.8 (2.2) 5.0 (2.5) 5.9 (3.0)