Table 1. Examples of uncertainties identified in each of the three knowledge relationships and objects of knowledge
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Unpredictability
(unpredictable system behavior) |
Incomplete knowledge
- lack of information
- unreliable information
- lack of theoretical understanding
- ignorance |
Multiple knowledge frames - different and/or conflicting ways of
understanding the system - different values and beliefs - different
judgement about the seriousness of the situation, growth potential of problems, priority
of actions or interventions |
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Natural system
- climate impacts
- water quantity
- water quality
- ecosystem |
Unpredictable behavior of the natural system,
e.g., How will climate change affect weather extremes? |
Incomplete knowledge about the natural system,
e.g., What are reliable measurements of water levels? |
Multiple knowledge frames about the natural system,
e.g., Is the main problem in this basin the water quantity or ecosystem
status? |
Technical system
- infrastructure
- technologies
- innovations |
Unpredictable behavior of the technical system,
e.g., What will be the side-effects of technology X? |
Incomplete knowledge about the technical system,
e.g., To what water level will this dike resist? |
Multiple knowledge frames about the technical system,
e.g., Should dikes be built or flood plains created? |
Social system - organizational context - stakeholders -
economic aspects - political aspects - legal aspects |
Unpredictable behavior of the social system,
e.g., How strong will stakeholders’ reactions be at the next
flood? |
Incomplete knowledge about the social system,
e.g., What are the economic impacts of a flood for the different
stakeholders? |
Multiple knowledge frames about the social system,
e.g., Should water markets be introduced to deal with water scarcity or
negotiation platforms? |
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