Table 1. Probabilities of the different states, i.e., possible discharges, under three different climate scenarios, e.g., current, climate change low, and climate change high. For each investment, the returns, expressed as prevented damage loss, are showed for each possible states A, B, C, and D (from DWW 2005a, 2005b).
| |
| |
|
|
States |
| |
|
|
A |
B |
C |
D |
|
Discharge[m³/s] |
> 18000 |
17,000–18,000 |
16,000–17,000 |
< 16000 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Climate scenarios |
Probability |
|
Current |
0.000125 |
0.000250 |
0.000800 |
0.998825 |
|
Climate Change low scenario (CC1) |
0.000167 |
0.000667 |
0.001333 |
0.997833 |
|
Climate Change high scenario (CC2) |
0.000667 |
0.001333 |
0.001818 |
0.996182 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets |
Actual Returns [106
Euro] |
|
D+: Higher dike ring |
0 |
0 |
17993 |
0 |
|
Cp: Compartments |
0 |
8000 |
12000 |
0 |
|
Fp: Flood proofing houses |
3000 |
3000 |
3000 |
0 |
|
R: Retention areas |
-4000 |
14000 |
14000 |
0 |
|
| |
|