Table 4. Average annual cash income (millions IDR) for (a) local households, and (b) migrant households; and percentage contribution of each activity to annual income, under four different scenarios
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Simulation results – 2027 |
Simulation results – 2047 |
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(a) Local households | Start of simulation (2007) |
1. No plantation |
2. Forest clearing without oil palm planting |
3. Plantation development with 0.1 jobs/ha |
4. Plantation development with 0.2 jobs/ha |
1. No plantation |
2. Forest clearing without oil palm planting |
3. Plantation development with 0.1 jobs/ha |
4. Plantation development with 0.2 jobs/ha |
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Average annual hh income
(in millions IDR) |
7.8 |
8.2 |
9.3 |
14.6 |
16.6 |
8.4 |
6.7 |
10.7 |
13.8 |
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Share from: |
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Agriculture |
28% |
27% |
32% |
27% |
28% |
27% |
34% |
41% |
43% |
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Forest products |
29% |
26% |
10% |
11% |
9% |
24% |
0% |
4% |
2% |
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Timber, plantation, and mining jobs |
7% |
4% |
4% |
15% |
20% |
3% |
4% |
12% |
17% |
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Civil service jobs |
24% |
23% |
31% |
19% |
19% |
20% |
29% |
21% |
21% |
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Trade and service |
9% |
17% |
15% |
10% |
9% |
26% |
33% |
21% |
16% |
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Timber fees |
3% |
2% |
8% |
18% |
15% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
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Simulation results – 2027 |
Simulation results – 2047 |
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(b) Migrant households | Start of simulation (2007) |
1. No plantation |
2. Forest clearing without oil palm planting |
3. Plantation development with 0.1 jobs/ha |
4. Plantation development with 0.2 jobs/ha |
1. No plantation |
2. Forest clearing without oil palm planting |
3. Plantation development with 0.1 jobs/ha |
4. Plantation development with 0.2 jobs/ha |
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Average annual hh income
(in millions IDR) |
13.8 |
13.6 |
19.4 |
22.3 |
23.6 |
13.8 |
11.2 |
19.5 |
21.8 |
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Share from: |
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Agriculture |
11% |
13% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
14% |
20% |
19% |
26% |
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Forest products |
2% |
2% |
0% |
1% |
0% |
2% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
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Timber, plantation, and mining jobs |
37% |
24% |
54% |
57% |
57% |
16% |
5% |
37% |
34% |
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Civil service jobs |
11% |
12% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
10% |
3% |
3% |
3% |
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Trade and service |
39% |
49% |
34% |
30% |
28% |
58% |
71% |
41% |
37% |
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Timber fees |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
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