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APPENDIX 1. Different ways of framing “adaptive management”: quotes from the interviews
In this appendix we present quotes from the interviews on adaptive
management (AM) to illustrate and support the four dimensions of frame
difference we discussed in the main text. We use I1 to I8 to refer to the eight
interviewees.
When we asked interviewees which scientific discipline
they belong to most interviewees were not able or didn’t like to label
themselves in terms of one specific discipline (I1, I2, I3, I5, I6). They
described different disciplines they had been working in over the course of
their career or they mentioned a field that is interdisciplinary in itself (e.g.
integrated assessment, management sciences, integrated water management). Some
of them (I2, I6) framed their background as consisting of an initial field of
education and several fields of interests. Although most interviewees had a
background characterized by multiple disciplines they can hardly be considered
generalists. There still was a clear difference in background and in the focus
of their research.
Text analysis of the interviews led us to the
identification of four dimensions of difference in the way the interviewees
frame AM. These dimensions are presented with illustrative quotes in the
following table and then discussed one by one.
|
|
|
Learning
and experimentation |
Uncertainty |
Adaptive
capacity |
Who adapts
to what? |
Disciplinary
background |
|
| I1
|
“AM
is learning to manage by managing to learn”
|
“manage
complex systems in an uncertain world by simply being able to
adapt to new insights” |
-
|
“a
system” / “people”
<adapt>
“management decisions”
<in response to>
“new insights” / “changing management objectives”
|
Chemistry; Molecular biology; Environmental Physics; Integrated assessment; Social sciences |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I2
|
“AM
to me is, has a lot to do with learning, because it was developed
in response to failure to learn”
“And we then try to make everybody ... part of an experiment”
“the policy now is the test of your best hypothesis”
|
-
|
-
|
“academics”
/ “policy makers” / “people in business”
/ “people without any training”
<learn>
“together”
<in response to>
“failure to learn” / ”catastrophes”
|
Systems
Ecology;
Cognitive Psychology
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I3
|
“I
deeply believe that, the social change dimension of AM ... can
be reached only through experimentation”
|
uncertainty
with respect to (1) “where we are” (2) “where
we want to go”, (3) “which path to follow” and
(4) “monitoring”
|
-
|
“social
system”
<adapts>
(unspecified)
<in response to>
“change”
|
Computer
Science; Management Sciences |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I4
|
-
|
“In
relation to uncertainty you have an adaptive capacity which is
able to accommodate surprises”
|
“adaptive
capacity ... is actually the most important goal, the most important
thing you should look at”
|
“stakeholders
organized as a coordinated group” / “the system”
<adapt>
(unspecified)
<in response to>
“a structural change in external conditions” /
“changing of the preferences of your people” |
Agricultural
Engineering; Hydrology |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I5
|
“definitely
learning and learning together”
“the learning aspect, where you explicitly try to engage
in experiments and learn from that”
|
“you
want to deal with uncertainty ... you want to prepare yourself
for different futures”
|
“you
want to strengthen the adaptive capacity of the system”
|
“both
ecosystems and actors or people” / “scientists together
with stakeholders”
<adapt>
“water management strategies” / “river flow”
<in response to>
“enlarged scope of situations that might happen to you”
/ “change”
|
Water Resources
Engineering and Management; Environmental Sciences; Experimental Physics |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I6
|
“It
is a process of exercising, and act then learn, then learn some
more, then act again”
|
-
|
“we
need to do that by increasing the ability to adapt, so adaptive
capacity comes into the language quite quickly”
|
“a
hundred people together across two dozen stakeholders”
<change>
the system
<in response to>
“unfolding risks as they occur”
|
Political
ecology; Social geography |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I7
|
“It
basically adds a sort of a learning aspect, a learning component
to IWRM”
|
“create
some sort of responsiveness within your system to react in a better
way to things that might happen in the future”
|
|
“the
stakeholders”
<adapt>
“strategies or actions”
<in response to>
“scenario’s” / “things that might happen”
/ “issues challenging our management”
|
Management
Sciences
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| I8
|
-
|
“The
events they, you can’t predict them. And you also don’t
know how the frequency and the magnitude of this event are developing.
And so you have to create a management system that is able to
react to these events”
|
-
|
“management
system”
<adapts>
(unspecified)
<in response to>
“events and change in these events” / “difficult
situations” |
Political
sciences;
Social sciences
|
|
Learning and experimentation
Learning is a recurring aspect in the interviewee's statements about
adaptive management (AM). For one interviewee (I7) the learning cycle is what
sets AM apart from IWRM, and thus a key aspect in defining AM. Four others (I1,
I2, I5, I6) also mention learning as a key element of AM: "AM is learning to
manage by managing to learn" (I1); "AM to me has a lot to do with learning,
because it was developed in response to failure to learn" (I2); "definitely
learning and learning together" (I5); "It is a process of exercising, and act
then learn, then learn some more, then act again" (I6). Three interviewees do
not refer to learning in their statements about AM.
Interviewees differ
in the extent to which they conceive this learning process as consisting mainly
of hypothesis testing through policy experiments. Five interviewees mention
experimentation, and for two of them, learning pretty much means
experimentation: "the learning aspect, where you explicitly try to engage in
experiments and learn from that" (I5); "it is a cycle of learning, assessing a
problem, then posing hypotheses ... the policy now is the test of your best
hypotheses" (I2). The other two (I1, I7) mention experimentation as an
additional possibility but a very crucial or viable way of learning in AM.
Interestingly, one interviewee (I6) mentions learning but not experimentation,
and another (I3) mentions experimentation without learning, indicating again
that learning and experimentation are not used as synonyms among the interviewed
researchers.
Interviewees differ also in whether they specify the actors
of the learning process, or who should be involved in the learning process: e.g.
mainly the responsible water managers; or the whole group of scientists, policy
makers and stakeholders; or scientists and stakeholders.
Uncertainty
Two of the eight interviewees do not refer to uncertainty when asked
about their definition of AM. Of these six, one mentions uncertainty only as a
marginal aspect (I7), and the rest do include uncertainty as an important aspect
of what AM means. However, they do not necessarily mention it in a uniform
way.
The interviewees mentioning uncertainty as an important aspect of
what AM means, mention it in different ways. The following interviewees stress
the unpredictability of the system as follows:
- I1 links uncertainty to the complexity of the
systems and the limits to predictability.
- I4 links uncertainty to stochastic drivers of
the system, which generate surprises.
- I8 links uncertainty to the unpredictability of
events, their frequency and magnitude.
- I5 links uncertainty to different possible
futures.
In addition I3 identifies uncertainty with respect to
(1) where we are, (2) where we want to go, (3) which path to follow, (4)
monitoring. He focuses on uncertainty as a consequence of different views
between scientists and/or stakeholders about some key parameters of a change
trajectory.
Adaptive management regime versus adaptive
capacity
Although the expression used in the interview questions was "adaptive
management", three interviewees (I4, I5, I6) draw strongly on the concept of
'adaptive capacity' for explaining their views. Only one interviewee
spontaneously uses the term regime while explaining adaptive
management.
Two interviewees (I4, I6) claim the term adaptive capacity to
be better suited for the project. I4 calls it "the most important goal, the most
important thing that you should look at". I6 stresses adaptive capacity as "the
ability to adapt" and contrasts this with the notion of a 'regime', because
"that seems to imply ... all sorts of assumptions about institutions and so". He
argues, for example, that "you can have very effective adaptive management
regimes that are completely hierarchical or oligarchical".
Who adapts to what?
When interviewees use the terms ‘adapting’,
‘changing’ or ‘learning’, they often specify additional
aspects: (1) who or what is adapting, changing or learning?; (2) what is it that
they adapt, change or learn; and (3) in response to what do they adapt, change
or learn? The interviewees specify these aspects in different ways. In the above
table, we represented these three elements per interviewee, and combined them
with the specific terms that the interviewee uses as operators (between <
>).
(1) Often the first question is left unanswered in how they talk
about adapting, but when specified, the following kinds of things are said to be
adapting, changing or learning: 'the system', 'the people', 'the ecosystem',
'the stakeholders', 'scientists and stakeholders' or 'the management system'.
(2) The second question is also left unanswered in many cases, but
'management strategies', ‘management decisions’, 'river flow' and
'the system' are mentioned as things that are adapted or changed.
(3)
With respect to the third aspect, the following things were mentioned in
response to which adaptation, change or learning occurs: 'change', 'changing
management objectives', 'new insights', 'structural change in external
conditions', 'new external situation', 'external change', 'changing preferences
of the people', and 'flood disasters'.
Interestingly, with regard to all
three aspects both biophysical ánd social system elements are mentioned
– the general 'system' mostly stands for both. Starting from the following
questions: (1) who or what is adapting, changing or learning?; (2) what is it
that they adapt, change or learn; and (3) in response to what do they adapt,
change or learn?; we can try to identify the possibilities by structuring the
three aspects into either biophysical or social system elements. Thereby we get
the following eight combinations:
- the biophysical system adapts the biophysical system in response to
biophysical changes (e.g. complex adaptive ecosystems under climate change)
- the biophysical systems adapts the biophysical system in response to social
changes (e.g. complex adaptive ecosystems under human-induced stress)
- the social system adapts the social system in response to biophysical
changes (e.g. learning to live with water)
- the social system adapts the social system in response to social changes
(e.g. the government starts subsidizing drinking water service for single parent
families)
- the social system adapts the biophysical systems in response biophysical
changes (e.g. creating floodplains in response to extreme events)
- the social system adapts the biophysical system in response social changes
(e.g. making polders in response to need for arable land)
- the biophysical system adapts the social system in response to biophysical
changes (e.g. replacement of species due to climate change which may result in
long-term trends in water availability)
- the biophysical system adapts the social system in response to social
changes (this seems logically impossible)
This list serves as
a thought experiment about possible meanings of adaptation. The broad range of
possibilities does not even take into account that parts of a subsystem can
change other parts of the same subsystem (e.g. one part of the social system can
change another part of the social system). This illustrates how adaptation can
be understood in very diverging ways.
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